MLB matchup
08/12/20258:10 PMMinute Maid ParkHouston, Texas

Red Sox84 – 71vsAstros77 – 78

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Boston Red SoxB-B-B-
Houston AstrosBC+B
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
BOS-110-1.5 (+150)
HOU-110+1.5 (-180)
Total 8.5Over -135Under +115
Recent form

Last 10 games

Boston Red Sox

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/11/25@ HOUL 6–7L -1.5O 7.5
8/10/25@ SDL 2–6L +1.5O 7.5
8/9/25@ SDL 4–5W +1.5O 7.5
8/8/25@ SDW 10–2W +1.5O 8.5
8/6/25vs KCL 3–7L -1.5O 8.5
8/5/25vs KCW 6–2W -1.5O 7.5
8/4/25vs KCW 8–5W -1.5O 9.5
8/3/25vs HOUW 6–1W +1.5U 7.5
8/2/25vs HOUW 7–3W -1.5O 9.5
8/1/25vs HOUW 2–1W +1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Houston Astros

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/11/25vs BOSW 7–6W +1.5O 7.5
8/10/25@ NYYW 7–1W +1.5U 9.5
8/9/25@ NYYL 4–5L -1.5O 8.5
8/8/25@ NYYW 5–3W -1.5O 7.5
8/6/25@ MIAL 4–6L -1.5O 8.5
8/5/25@ MIAW 7–3W -1.5O 8.5
8/4/25@ MIAW 8–2W +1.5O 8.5
8/3/25@ BOSL 1–6L -1.5U 7.5
8/2/25@ BOSL 3–7L +1.5O 9.5
8/1/25@ BOSL 1–2L -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Red Sox and Astros
Statistic
N/A (8.2)HitsN/A (8.0)
N/A (1.8)DoublesN/A (1.5)
N/A (1.0)Home RunsN/A (1.3)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.8)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (8.2)StrikeoutsN/A (8.2)
N/A (0.7)Stolen BasesN/A (0.3)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Red SoxDustin MayConfirmed
AstrosSpencer ArrighettiConfirmed

Starting lineups

Boston Red SoxConfirmed
  1. 1Roman AnthonyLF
  2. 2Alex Bregman3B
  3. 3Jarren DuranCF
  4. 4Trevor StorySS
  5. 5Masataka YoshidaDH
  6. 6Abraham Toro1B
  7. 7Wilyer AbreuRF
  8. 8Ceddanne Rafaela2B
  9. 9Carlos NarvaezC
Houston AstrosConfirmed
  1. 1Jeremy PenaSS
  2. 2Carlos Correa3B
  3. 3Jose AltuveDH
  4. 4Jesus SanchezRF
  5. 5Christian Walker1B
  6. 6Yainer DiazC
  7. 7Taylor TrammellLF
  8. 8Ramon Urias2B
  9. 9Jacob MeltonCF


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