Marlins76 – 79vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Miami Marlins	C	C+	C
Boston Red Sox	B-	B-	B-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA+140+1.5 (-155)

BOS-165-1.5 (+130)

Total 8.5Over -125Under +105

Recent form

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/14/25	@ CLE	L 4–9	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/13/25	@ CLE	W 13–4	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/12/25	@ CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/10/25	@ ATL	L 1–7	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/9/25	@ ATL	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/9/25	@ ATL	L 1–7	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/8/25	@ ATL	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/7/25	@ ATL	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/6/25	vs HOU	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/5/25	vs HOU	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/13/25	@ HOU	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
8/12/25	@ HOU	W 14–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/11/25	@ HOU	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
8/10/25	@ SD	L 2–6	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/9/25	@ SD	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
8/8/25	@ SD	W 10–2	W +1.5	O 8.5
8/6/25	vs KC	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/5/25	vs KC	W 6–2	W -1.5	O 7.5
8/4/25	vs KC	W 8–5	W -1.5	O 9.5
8/3/25	vs HOU	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

MarlinsSandy AlcantaraConfirmed

Red SoxLucas GiolitoConfirmed

Miami MarlinsConfirmed

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

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