Pirates79 – 77vsCubs87 – 69

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+
Chicago Cubs	A-	B	B+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+155+1.5 (-145)

CHC-185-1.5 (+115)

Total 7.5Over +110Under -130

Recent form

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/16/25	@ CHC	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/15/25	@ CHC	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/13/25	@ MIL	L 5–12	L +1.5	O 7.5
8/12/25	@ MIL	L 0–14	L +1.5	O 6.5
8/11/25	@ MIL	L 1–7	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/10/25	vs CIN	L 8–14	L +1.5	O 8.5
8/9/25	vs CIN	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/8/25	vs CIN	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
8/7/25	vs CIN	W 7–0	W -1.5	O 6.5
8/6/25	vs SF	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U1–9–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/16/25	vs PIT	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
8/15/25	vs PIT	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/14/25	@ TOR	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/13/25	@ TOR	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
8/12/25	@ TOR	L 1–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
8/10/25	@ STL	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
8/9/25	@ STL	W 9–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
8/8/25	@ STL	L 0–5	L -1.5	U 8.5
8/6/25	vs CIN	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
8/5/25	vs CIN	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesCarmen MlodzinskiConfirmed

CubsJavier AssadConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Chicago CubsConfirmed

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