MLB matchup
08/29/20257:10 PMFenway ParkBoston, Massachusetts67°F · Cloudy-Dry

Pirates78 – 77vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+A-B
Boston Red SoxB-AB+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT+100-1.5 (+165)
BOS-120+1.5 (-200)
Total 7.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/28/25@ STLL 1–4L -1.5U 8.5
8/27/25@ STLW 2–1W +1.5U 7.5
8/26/25@ STLW 8–3W +1.5O 8.5
8/25/25@ STLL 6–7W +1.5O 7.5
8/24/25vs COLW 4–0W -2.5U 7.5
8/23/25vs COLW 5–1W -1.5U 8.5
8/22/25vs COLW 9–0W -1.5O 8.5
8/20/25vs TORW 2–1W +1.5U 8.5
8/19/25vs TORL 3–7L +1.5O 7.5
8/18/25vs TORW 5–2W +1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Boston Red Sox

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/28/25@ BALW 3–2L -1.5U 8.5
8/27/25@ BALW 3–2L -1.5U 8.5
8/26/25@ BALW 5–0W -1.5U 8.5
8/25/25@ BALW 4–3L -1.5U 8.5
8/24/25@ NYYL 2–7L +1.5O 8.5
8/23/25@ NYYW 12–1W -1.5O 8.5
8/22/25@ NYYW 1–0W +1.5U 8.5
8/21/25@ NYYW 6–3W +1.5O 8.5
8/19/25vs BALL 3–4L -1.5U 9.5
8/18/25vs BALL 3–6L +1.5O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Red Sox
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (8.2)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.8)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (13.3)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (8.2)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesPaul SkenesConfirmed
Red SoxPayton TolleConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Jared TrioloSS
  2. 2Nick Gonzales2B
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsRF
  4. 4Tommy PhamLF
  5. 5Andrew McCutchenDH
  6. 6Alexander CanarioCF
  7. 7Henry DavisC
  8. 8Liover Peguero1B
  9. 9Isiah Kiner-Falefa3B
Boston Red SoxConfirmed
  1. 1Roman AnthonyRF
  2. 2Alex Bregman3B
  3. 3Jarren DuranLF
  4. 4Trevor StorySS
  5. 5Masataka YoshidaDH
  6. 6Romy Gonzalez1B
  7. 7Nick Sogard2B
  8. 8Ceddanne RafaelaCF
  9. 9Connor WongC


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