MLB matchup
08/31/20251:35 PMFenway ParkBoston, Massachusetts71°F · Sunny-Dry

Pirates78 – 77vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+C+C+
Boston Red SoxB-B-B-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT+150+1.5 (-145)
BOS-180-1.5 (+120)
Total 8.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line9–1–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/30/25@ BOSW 10–3W +1.5O 8.5
8/29/25@ BOSW 4–2W -1.5U 7.5
8/28/25@ STLL 1–4L -1.5U 8.5
8/27/25@ STLW 2–1W +1.5U 7.5
8/26/25@ STLW 8–3W +1.5O 8.5
8/25/25@ STLL 6–7W +1.5O 7.5
8/24/25vs COLW 4–0W -2.5U 7.5
8/23/25vs COLW 5–1W -1.5U 8.5
8/22/25vs COLW 9–0W -1.5O 8.5
8/20/25vs TORW 2–1W +1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Boston Red Sox

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
8/30/25vs PITL 3–10L -1.5O 8.5
8/29/25vs PITL 2–4L +1.5U 7.5
8/28/25@ BALW 3–2L -1.5U 8.5
8/27/25@ BALW 3–2L -1.5U 8.5
8/26/25@ BALW 5–0W -1.5U 8.5
8/25/25@ BALW 4–3L -1.5U 8.5
8/24/25@ NYYL 2–7L +1.5O 8.5
8/23/25@ NYYW 12–1W -1.5O 8.5
8/22/25@ NYYW 1–0W +1.5U 8.5
8/21/25@ NYYW 6–3W +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Red Sox
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (8.2)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.8)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (13.3)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (8.2)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesMitch KellerConfirmed
Red SoxLucas GiolitoConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Jared TrioloSS
  2. 2Spencer Horwitz1B
  3. 3Tommy PhamLF
  4. 4Nick Gonzales2B
  5. 5Andrew McCutchenDH
  6. 6Oneil CruzCF
  7. 7Henry DavisC
  8. 8Alexander CanarioRF
  9. 9Cam Devanney3B
Boston Red SoxConfirmed
  1. 1Roman AnthonyRF
  2. 2Alex Bregman3B
  3. 3Jarren DuranLF
  4. 4Trevor StorySS
  5. 5Nathaniel Lowe1B
  6. 6Masataka YoshidaDH
  7. 7Romy Gonzalez2B
  8. 8Ceddanne RafaelaCF
  9. 9Carlos NarvaezC


Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial