MLB matchup
09/05/20258:05 PMGlobe Life Park in ArlingtonArlington, Texas

Astros77 – 78vsRangers78 – 77

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Houston AstrosBBB
Texas RangersCC+C
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
HOU+105-1.5 (+165)
TEX-125+1.5 (-200)
Total 7.5Over -125Under +105
Recent form

Last 10 games

Houston Astros

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/4/25vs NYYL 4–8L +1.5O 8.5
9/3/25vs NYYW 8–7W +1.5O 9.5
9/2/25vs NYYL 1–7L +1.5O 7.5
9/1/25vs LAAW 8–3W -1.5O 8.5
8/31/25vs LAAL 0–3L -1.5U 7.5
8/30/25vs LAAL 1–4L -1.5U 9.5
8/29/25vs LAAW 2–0W -1.5U 9.5
8/28/25vs COLW 4–3L -2.5U 8.5
8/27/25vs COLW 4–0W -2.5U 7.5
8/26/25vs COLL 1–6L -1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Texas Rangers

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/3/25@ ARIL 0–2L +1.5U 8.5
9/2/25@ ARIL 3–5L -1.5U 9.5
9/1/25@ ARIW 7–5W +1.5O 8.5
8/31/25@ ATHW 9–6W -1.5O 9.5
8/30/25@ ATHW 9–3W -1.5O 10.5
8/29/25@ ATHW 5–2W +1.5U 10.5
8/27/25vs LAAW 20–3W -1.5O 8.5
8/26/25vs LAAW 7–3W +1.5O 8.5
8/25/25vs LAAL 0–4L -1.5U 7.5
8/24/25vs CLEW 5–0W +1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Astros and Rangers
Statistic
N/A (8.0)HitsN/A (8.0)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.5)
N/A (1.3)Home RunsN/A (1.1)
N/A (13.8)Total BasesN/A (13.0)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (8.2)StrikeoutsN/A (8.6)
N/A (0.3)Stolen BasesN/A (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AstrosColton GordonConfirmed
RangersMerrill KellyConfirmed

Starting lineups

Houston AstrosConfirmed
  1. 1Jeremy PenaSS
  2. 2Yordan AlvarezDH
  3. 3Jose Altuve2B
  4. 4Carlos Correa3B
  5. 5Jesus SanchezLF
  6. 6Christian Walker1B
  7. 7Victor CaratiniC
  8. 8Taylor TrammellCF
  9. 9Cam SmithRF
Texas RangersConfirmed
  1. 1Michael HelmanCF
  2. 2Cody Freeman2B
  3. 3Wyatt LangfordLF
  4. 4Jake Burger1B
  5. 5Kyle HigashiokaC
  6. 6Josh Jung3B
  7. 7Ezequiel DuranRF
  8. 8Dylan MooreDH
  9. 9Josh SmithSS


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