MLB matchup
09/12/20256:45 PMNationals ParkWashington, DC78°F · Sunny-Dry

Pirates78 – 77vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+C+C+
Washington NationalsCD+C
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT-110-1.5 (+150)
WSH-110+1.5 (-180)
Total 8.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/11/25@ BALL 2–3W +1.5U 8.5
9/10/25@ BALL 1–2L -1.5U 7.5
9/9/25@ BALL 2–3W +1.5U 7.5
9/7/25vs MILL 2–10L +1.5O 7.5
9/6/25vs MILL 1–4L +1.5U 7.5
9/5/25vs MILL 2–5L +1.5U 8.5
9/4/25vs LADW 5–3W +1.5O 6.5
9/3/25vs LADW 3–0W +1.5U 8.5
9/2/25vs LADW 9–7W +1.5O 8.5
8/31/25@ BOSL 2–5L +1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Nationals

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/11/25@ MIAL 0–5L +1.5U 7.5
9/10/25@ MIAL 3–8L +1.5O 8.5
9/9/25@ MIAW 7–5W +1.5O 9.5
9/8/25@ MIAW 15–7W -1.5O 8.5
9/7/25@ CHCW 6–3W +1.5O 7.5
9/6/25@ CHCW 2–1W +1.5U 8.5
9/5/25@ CHCL 5–11L +1.5O 10.5
9/3/25vs MIAW 10–5W +1.5O 8.5
9/2/25vs MIAW 5–2W +1.5U 9.5
9/1/25vs MIAW 2–0W +1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Nationals
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (8.4)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.7)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.3)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (14.5)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.4)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (8.5)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (1.1)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesMitch KellerConfirmed
NationalsBrad LordConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Jared TrioloSS
  2. 2Spencer Horwitz1B
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsRF
  4. 4Andrew McCutchenDH
  5. 5Nick Gonzales2B
  6. 6Oneil CruzCF
  7. 7Cam Devanney3B
  8. 8Jihwan BaeLF
  9. 9Henry DavisC
Washington NationalsConfirmed
  1. 1CJ AbramsSS
  2. 2James WoodLF
  3. 3Josh Bell1B
  4. 4Daylen LileDH
  5. 5Luis Garcia Jr.2B
  6. 6Riley AdamsC
  7. 7Dylan CrewsRF
  8. 8Brady House3B
  9. 9Robert Hassell IIICF


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