Royals67 – 88vsPhillies85 – 70

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Kansas City Royals	C	D	D+
Philadelphia Phillies	A-	C+	B

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+120+1.5 (-175)

PHI-145-1.5 (+145)

Total 9.5Over +120Under -145

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/25	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/10/25	@ CLE	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/9/25	@ CLE	L 0–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/8/25	@ CLE	L 2–10	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/7/25	vs MIN	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/6/25	vs MIN	W 11–2	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/5/25	vs MIN	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/4/25	vs LAA	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/3/25	vs LAA	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/2/25	vs LAA	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/11/25	vs NYM	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/10/25	vs NYM	W 11–3	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/9/25	vs NYM	W 9–3	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/8/25	vs NYM	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/7/25	@ MIA	L 4–5	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/6/25	@ MIA	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/5/25	@ MIA	W 9–3	W -2.5	O 8.5
9/4/25	@ MIL	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/3/25	@ MIL	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/1/25	@ MIL	W 10–8	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

RoyalsMichael LorenzenConfirmed

PhilliesWalker BuehlerConfirmed

Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed

Philadelphia PhilliesConfirmed

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