Pirates78 – 77vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+
Washington Nationals	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-120-1.5 (+150)

WSH+100+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/13/25	@ WSH	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 9.5
9/12/25	@ WSH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/25	@ BAL	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/10/25	@ BAL	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/9/25	@ BAL	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/7/25	vs MIL	L 2–10	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/25	vs MIL	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/5/25	vs MIL	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/4/25	vs LAD	W 5–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
9/3/25	vs LAD	W 3–0	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/13/25	vs PIT	L 1–5	L +1.5	U 9.5
9/12/25	vs PIT	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/11/25	@ MIA	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/10/25	@ MIA	L 3–8	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/9/25	@ MIA	W 7–5	W +1.5	O 9.5
9/8/25	@ MIA	W 15–7	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/7/25	@ CHC	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/25	@ CHC	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/5/25	@ CHC	L 5–11	L +1.5	O 10.5
9/3/25	vs MIA	W 10–5	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesMike BurrowsConfirmed

NationalsCade CavalliConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Washington NationalsConfirmed

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