MLB matchup
09/21/20257:35 PMGeorge M. Steinbrenner FieldTampa, Florida

Red Sox84 – 71vsRays94 – 60

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Boston Red SoxB-B+B
Tampa Bay RaysBB-B
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
BOS-130-1.5 (+135)
TB+110+1.5 (-160)
Total 7.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

Boston Red Sox

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/20/25@ TBW 6–3W -1.5O 8.5
9/19/25@ TBW 11–7W -1.5O 6.5
9/18/25vs ATHL 3–5L -1.5U 9.5
9/17/25vs ATHW 5–4L -1.5U 9.5
9/16/25vs ATHL 1–2L -1.5U 8.5
9/14/25vs NYYW 6–4W -1.5O 7.5
9/13/25vs NYYL 3–5L +1.5U 8.5
9/12/25vs NYYL 1–4L +1.5U 8.5
9/10/25@ ATHL 4–5L -1.5U 10.5
9/9/25@ ATHW 6–0W -1.5U 10.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/20/25vs BOSL 3–6L +1.5O 8.5
9/19/25vs BOSL 7–11L +1.5O 6.5
9/18/25vs TORW 4–0W +1.5U 7.5
9/17/25vs TORW 2–1W +1.5U 7.5
9/16/25vs TORL 5–6W +1.5O 8.5
9/15/25vs TORL 1–2W +1.5U 8.5
9/14/25@ CHCL 3–4W +1.5U 7.5
9/13/25@ CHCW 5–4L -1.5O 8.5
9/12/25@ CHCL 4–6L +1.5O 7.5
9/11/25@ CHWL 1–5L -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Red Sox and Rays
Statistic
N/A (8.3)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.8)DoublesN/A (1.4)
N/A (1.0)Home RunsN/A (1.1)
N/A (13.4)Total BasesN/A (13.5)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (8.2)StrikeoutsN/A (7.1)
N/A (0.7)Stolen BasesN/A (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Red SoxConnelly EarlyConfirmed
RaysJoe BoyleConfirmed

Starting lineups

Boston Red SoxConfirmed
  1. 1Jarren DuranLF
  2. 2Trevor StorySS
  3. 3Alex Bregman3B
  4. 4Masataka YoshidaRF
  5. 5Romy Gonzalez2B
  6. 6Nathaniel Lowe1B
  7. 7Ceddanne RafaelaCF
  8. 8Wilyer AbreuDH
  9. 9Connor WongC
Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed
  1. 1Chandler SimpsonCF
  2. 2Yandy DiazDH
  3. 3Junior Caminero3B
  4. 4Brandon Lowe2B
  5. 5Christopher MorelLF
  6. 6Nick FortesC
  7. 7Tristan Gray1B
  8. 8Everson PereiraRF
  9. 9Carson WilliamsSS


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