Pirates78 – 77vsReds72 – 83

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	A-	B
Cincinnati Reds	C	B	C+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+110+1.5 (-225)

CIN-130-1.5 (+175)

Total 6.5Over -145Under +120

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/23/25	@ CIN	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/21/25	vs ATH	W 11–0	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/20/25	vs ATH	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/19/25	vs ATH	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/17/25	vs CHC	L 4–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/16/25	vs CHC	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 6.5
9/15/25	vs CHC	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/14/25	@ WSH	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/13/25	@ WSH	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 9.5
9/12/25	@ WSH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/23/25	vs PIT	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/21/25	vs CHC	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/20/25	vs CHC	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/19/25	vs CHC	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/18/25	vs CHC	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/17/25	@ STL	W 6–2	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/16/25	@ STL	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/15/25	@ STL	W 11–6	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/14/25	@ ATH	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 9.5
9/13/25	@ ATH	L 5–11	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesPaul SkenesConfirmed

RedsHunter GreeneConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

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