Pirates78 – 77vsReds72 – 83

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	B	B-
Cincinnati Reds	C	C+	C

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+140+1.5 (-155)

CIN-165-1.5 (+130)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/24/25	@ CIN	W 4–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
9/23/25	@ CIN	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/21/25	vs ATH	W 11–0	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/20/25	vs ATH	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/19/25	vs ATH	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/17/25	vs CHC	L 4–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/16/25	vs CHC	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 6.5
9/15/25	vs CHC	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/14/25	@ WSH	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/13/25	@ WSH	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/24/25	vs PIT	L 3–4	L -1.5	O 6.5
9/23/25	vs PIT	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/21/25	vs CHC	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/20/25	vs CHC	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/19/25	vs CHC	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/18/25	vs CHC	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/17/25	@ STL	W 6–2	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/16/25	@ STL	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/15/25	@ STL	W 11–6	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/14/25	@ ATH	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesBraxton AshcraftConfirmed

RedsNick LodoloConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.