Pirates78 – 77vsBraves91 – 64

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+
Atlanta Braves	B+	B	B

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+155+1.5 (-135)

ATL-185-1.5 (+115)

Total 8.5Over +110Under -130

Recent form

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/27/25	@ ATL	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/26/25	@ ATL	W 9–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/25/25	@ CIN	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/24/25	@ CIN	W 4–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
9/23/25	@ CIN	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/21/25	vs ATH	W 11–0	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/20/25	vs ATH	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/19/25	vs ATH	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/17/25	vs CHC	L 4–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/16/25	vs CHC	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/27/25	vs PIT	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/26/25	vs PIT	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/24/25	vs WSH	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/23/25	vs WSH	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/22/25	vs WSH	W 11–5	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/21/25	@ DET	W 6–2	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/20/25	@ DET	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/19/25	@ DET	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 9.5
9/17/25	@ WSH	W 9–4	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/16/25	@ WSH	W 5–0	W -1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesJohan OviedoConfirmed

BravesCharlie MortonConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Atlanta BravesConfirmed

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