CFB matchup
10/04/20253:30 PML&N Federal Credit Union StadiumLouisville, KY

Virginia2 – 1vsLouisville2 – 1

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Virginia CavaliersBBB
Louisville CardinalsA-B+B+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineSpread
UVA+200+6.5 (+100)
LOU-240-6.5 (-120)
Total 61.5Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 10 games

Virginia Cavaliers

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/26/25vs FSUW 46–38W +6.5O 60.5
9/20/25vs STANW 48–20W -16.5O 49.5
9/13/25vs W&MW 55–16W -29.5O 52.5
9/6/25@ NCSUL 31–35L +2.5O 52.5
8/30/25vs CCUW 48–7W -13.5O 54.5
11/30/24@ VTL 17–37L +4.5O 44.5
11/23/24vs SMUL 7–33L +10.5U 53.5
11/16/24@ NDL 14–35W +21.5U 51.5
11/9/24@ PITTW 24–19W +7.5U 56.5
10/26/24vs UNCL 14–41L -3.5U 57.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Louisville Cardinals

Overall9–1–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/27/25@ PITTW 34–27W -3.5O 52.5
9/20/25vs BGSUW 40–17L -25.5O 50.5
9/5/25vs JMUW 28–14L -15.5U 56.5
8/30/25vs EKUW 51–17L -37.5O 57.5
12/31/24vs WASHW 35–34W +1.5O 50.5
11/30/24@ UKW 41–14W -3.5O 48.5
11/23/24vs PITTW 37–9W -7.5U 57.5
11/16/24@ STANL 35–38L -20.5O 57.5
11/2/24@ CLEMW 33–21W +11.5U 62.5
10/25/24@ BCW 31–27L -7.5O 52.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Virginia and Louisville
Statistic
N/A (386.8)Total YardsN/A (409.9)
N/A (218.6)Passing YardsN/A (233.1)
N/A (20.6)Pass CompletionsN/A (20.2)
N/A (31.9)Pass AttemptsN/A (31.3)
N/A (168.1)Rushing YardsN/A (176.9)
N/A (39.5)Rushing AttemptsN/A (33.9)
N/A (20.6)First DownsN/A (20.4)



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