CFB matchup
10/04/20254:00 PMCentennial Bank StadiumJonesboro, AR

Texas State1 – 2vsArkansas State1 – 2

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Texas State BobcatsB-CC+
Arkansas State Red WolvesCCC
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineSpread
TXST-650-14.5 (+105)
ARST+425+14.5 (-125)
Total 63.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form

Last 10 games

Texas State Bobcats

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/20/25vs NICHW 35–3L -32.5U 56.5
9/13/25@ ASUL 15–34L +18.5U 61.5
9/6/25@ UTSAW 43–36W +4.5O 64.5
8/30/25vs EMUW 52–27W -13.5O 56.5
1/3/25vs UNTW 30–28L -15.5U 66.5
11/29/24@ USAW 45–38W -2.5O 60.5
11/23/24vs GASTL 44–52L -22.5O 59.5
11/16/24vs USMW 58–3W -27.5O 55.5
11/9/24@ ULMW 38–17W -9.5O 49.5
10/29/24vs ULL 17–23L -3.5U 61.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/27/25@ ULML 16–28L +1.5U 55.5
9/20/25@ KENNL 21–28L -4.5U 58.5
9/13/25vs ISUL 16–24W +20.5U 55.5
9/6/25@ ARKL 14–56L +24.5O 61.5
8/30/25vs SEMOW 42–24W -15.5O 59.5
12/26/24vs BGSUW 38–31W +10.5O 54.5
11/30/24vs ODUL 32–40L +5.5O 58.5
11/23/24vs ULMW 28–21W -2.5U 51.5
11/16/24@ GASTW 27–20W +2.5U 58.5
11/9/24@ ULL 19–55L +14.5O 59.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Texas State and Arkansas State
Statistic
N/A (478.5)Total YardsN/A (377.1)
N/A (248.2)Passing YardsN/A (251.4)
N/A (19.3)Pass CompletionsN/A (24.1)
N/A (27.6)Pass AttemptsN/A (36.8)
N/A (230.4)Rushing YardsN/A (125.7)
N/A (44.0)Rushing AttemptsN/A (33.0)
N/A (23.5)First DownsN/A (21.0)



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