Patriots0 – 1vsBills2 – 0

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
New England Patriots	A-	A-	A-
Buffalo Bills	A	B	A-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineSpread

NE+320+7.5 (-105)

BUF-425-7.5 (-115)

Total 48.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/28/25	vs CAR	W 42–13	W -3	O 42.5
9/21/25	vs PIT	L 14–21	L +1.5	U 44.5
9/14/25	@ MIA	W 33–27	W +2.5	O 42.5
9/7/25	vs LV	L 13–20	L -2.5	U 44.5
1/5/25	vs BUF	W 23–16	W +3.5	O 36.5
12/28/24	vs LAC	L 7–40	L +5.5	O 41.5
12/22/24	@ BUF	L 21–24	W +14.5	U 47.5
12/15/24	@ ARI	L 17–30	L +5.5	O 46.5
12/1/24	vs IND	L 24–25	W +2.5	O 41.5
11/24/24	@ MIA	L 15–34	L +7.5	O 45.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall8–2–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/28/25	vs NO	W 31–19	L -14.5	O 48.5
9/18/25	vs MIA	W 31–21	L -11.5	O 50.5
9/14/25	@ NYJ	W 30–10	W -5.5	U 46.5
9/7/25	vs BAL	W 41–40	W +1.5	O 51.5
1/26/25	@ KC	L 29–32	L +2.5	O 49.5
1/19/25	vs BAL	W 27–25	W +1.5	O 51.5
1/12/25	vs DEN	W 31–7	W -7.5	U 48.5
1/5/25	@ NE	L 16–23	L -3.5	O 36.5
12/29/24	vs NYJ	W 40–14	W -10.5	O 44.5
12/22/24	vs NE	W 24–21	L -14.5	U 47.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

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