Troy2 – 1vsTexas State1 – 2

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Troy Trojans	D+	C	C
Texas State Bobcats	B-	C	C+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineSpread

TROY+230+7.5 (-110)

TXST-280-7.5 (-110)

Total 53.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS8–2–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/4/25	vs USA	W 31–24	W +2.5	O 46.5
9/20/25	@ BUF	W 21–17	W +6.5	U 43.5
9/13/25	vs MEM	L 7–28	L +4.5	U 51.5
9/6/25	@ CLEM	L 16–27	W +29.5	U 51.5
8/30/25	vs NICH	W 38–20	W -16.5	O 46.5
11/30/24	vs USM	W 52–20	W -17.5	O 48.5
11/23/24	@ UL	L 30–51	L +7.5	O 51.5
11/16/24	@ GASO	W 28–20	W +7.5	U 53.5
11/2/24	vs CCU	W 38–24	W +3.5	O 51.5
10/26/24	@ ARST	L 31–34	W +7.5	O 50.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/4/25	@ ARST	L 30–31	L -14.5	U 63.5
9/20/25	vs NICH	W 35–3	L -32.5	U 56.5
9/13/25	@ ASU	L 15–34	L +18.5	U 61.5
9/6/25	@ UTSA	W 43–36	W +4.5	O 64.5
8/30/25	vs EMU	W 52–27	W -13.5	O 56.5
1/3/25	vs UNT	W 30–28	L -15.5	U 66.5
11/29/24	@ USA	W 45–38	W -2.5	O 60.5
11/23/24	vs GAST	L 44–52	L -22.5	O 59.5
11/16/24	vs USM	W 58–3	W -27.5	O 55.5
11/9/24	@ ULM	W 38–17	W -9.5	O 49.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

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