CFB matchup
10/14/20257:00 PMWilliams Stadium - LynchburgLynchburg, VA

New Mexico State1 – 2vsLiberty2 – 1

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
New Mexico State AggiesD+C-C-
Liberty FlamesC-CC-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU+340+11.5 (-115)
LIB-450-11.5 (-105)
Total 48.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

New Mexico State Aggies

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/2/25vs SHSUW 37–10W +1.5U 53.5
9/27/25@ UNML 20–38L +17.5O 53.5
9/13/25@ LTL 14–49L +10.5O 42.5
9/6/25vs TLSAW 21–14W +3.5U 53.5
8/30/25vs BRYW 19–3L -19.5U 52.5
11/30/24vs UTEPL 35–42L -3.5O 51.5
11/23/24@ MTSUW 36–21W +3.5O 53.5
11/16/24@ TA&ML 3–38W +38.5U 54.5
11/9/24vs WKUL 28–41W +18O 53.5
10/29/24@ FIUL 13–34L +7.5O 43.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Liberty Flames

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS3–7–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/8/25@ UTEPW 19–8W -1.5U 47.5
9/27/25@ ODUL 7–21W +14.5U 53.5
9/20/25vs JMUL 13–31L +7.5U 46.5
9/13/25@ BGSUL 13–23L -6.5U 51.5
9/6/25@ JXSTL 24–34L -6.5O 50.5
8/30/25vs MEW 28–7L -25.5U 50.5
1/4/25vs BUFL 7–26L +3.5U 50.5
11/29/24@ SHSUL 18–20L -2.5U 47.5
11/23/24vs WKUW 38–21W -1.5O 55.5
11/16/24@ MASSW 35–34L -16.5O 52.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for New Mexico State and Liberty
Statistic
N/A (339.0)Total YardsN/A (380.3)
N/A (252.2)Passing YardsN/A (190.3)
N/A (23.8)Pass CompletionsN/A (13.7)
N/A (40.1)Pass AttemptsN/A (25.1)
N/A (86.8)Rushing YardsN/A (189.9)
N/A (30.5)Rushing AttemptsN/A (42.9)
N/A (21.4)First DownsN/A (20.5)



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