Arkansas State1 – 2vsTroy2 – 1

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Arkansas State Red Wolves	C	C	C
Troy Trojans	D+	C	C

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineSpread

ARST+240+7.5 (-115)

TROY-290-7.5 (-105)

Total 52.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/25/25	vs GASO	W 34–24	W -1.5	U 59.5
10/14/25	@ USA	W 15–14	W +8.5	U 57.5
10/4/25	vs TXST	W 31–30	W +14.5	U 63.5
9/27/25	@ ULM	L 16–28	L +1.5	U 55.5
9/20/25	@ KENN	L 21–28	L -4.5	U 58.5
9/13/25	vs ISU	L 16–24	W +20.5	U 55.5
9/6/25	@ ARK	L 14–56	L +24.5	O 61.5
8/30/25	vs SEMO	W 42–24	W -15.5	O 59.5
12/26/24	vs BGSU	W 38–31	W +10.5	O 54.5
11/30/24	vs ODU	L 32–40	L +5.5	O 58.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS8–2–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/25/25	vs UL	W 35–23	W -7.5	O 47.5
10/18/25	@ ULM	W 37–14	W -5.5	O 45.5
10/11/25	@ TXST	W 48–41	W +7.5	O 53.5
10/4/25	vs USA	W 31–24	W +2.5	O 46.5
9/20/25	@ BUF	W 21–17	W +6.5	U 43.5
9/13/25	vs MEM	L 7–28	L +4.5	U 51.5
9/6/25	@ CLEM	L 16–27	W +29.5	U 51.5
8/30/25	vs NICH	W 38–20	W -16.5	O 46.5
11/30/24	vs USM	W 52–20	W -17.5	O 48.5
11/23/24	@ UL	L 30–51	L +7.5	O 51.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

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