Penn State3 – 0vsMichigan State2 – 1

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Penn State Nittany Lions	B+	B+	B+
Michigan State Spartans	A-	B+	B+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET

TeamMoneylineSpread

PSU-270-6.5 (-125)

MSU+220+6.5 (+105)

Total 49.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS2–8–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/8/25	vs IU	L 24–27	W +13.5	O 50.5
11/1/25	@ OSU	L 14–38	L +17.5	O 45.5
10/18/25	@ IOWA	L 24–25	W +3.5	O 41.5
10/11/25	vs NU	L 21–22	L -20.5	U 46.5
10/4/25	@ UCLA	L 37–42	L -24.5	O 47.5
9/27/25	vs ORE	L 24–30	L -4.5	O 52.5
9/13/25	vs VILL	W 52–6	L -47.5	O 56.5
9/6/25	vs FIU	W 34–0	L -41.5	U 53.5
8/30/25	vs NEV	W 46–11	L -43.5	O 54.5
1/9/25	vs ND	L 24–27	L -1.5	O 45.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/1/25	@ MINN	L 20–23	W +5.5	U 44.5
10/25/25	vs MICH	L 20–31	W +13.5	O 47.5
10/18/25	@ IU	L 13–38	W +26.5	O 49.5
10/11/25	vs UCLA	L 13–38	L -6.5	U 51.5
10/4/25	@ NEB	L 27–38	W +12.5	O 49.5
9/20/25	@ USC	L 31–45	W +18.5	O 55.5
9/13/25	vs YSU	W 41–24	L -27.5	O 56.5
9/6/25	vs BC	W 42–40	L -3.5	O 45.5
8/29/25	vs WMU	W 23–6	L -22.5	U 50.5
11/30/24	vs RUTG	L 14–41	L -1.5	O 46.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

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