Toledo2 – 1vsLouisville2 – 1

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Toledo Rockets	C	C	C
Louisville Cardinals	A-	B+	B+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

TOL+360+11.5 (-108)

LOU-470-11.5 (-112)

Total 44.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/29/25	@ CMU	W 21–3	W -10.5	U 46.5
11/22/25	vs BALL	W 38–9	W -28.5	O 45.5
11/12/25	@ M-OH	W 24–3	W -6.5	U 44.5
11/5/25	vs NIU	W 42–3	W -15.5	O 41.5
10/25/25	@ WSU	L 7–28	L -1.5	U 45.5
10/18/25	vs KENT	W 45–10	W -25.5	O 48.5
10/11/25	@ BGSU	L 23–28	L -10.5	O 45.5
9/27/25	vs AKR	W 45–3	W -22.5	U 49.5
9/20/25	@ WMU	L 13–14	L -11.5	U 48.5
9/13/25	vs MORG	W 60–0	W -33.5	O 54.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/29/25	vs UK	W 41–0	W +1.5	U 45.5
11/22/25	@ SMU	L 6–38	L +3.5	U 50.5
11/14/25	vs CLEM	L 19–20	L -2.5	U 50.5
11/8/25	vs CAL	L 26–29	L -18.5	O 49.5
11/1/25	@ VT	W 28–16	W -10.5	U 52.5
10/25/25	vs BC	W 38–24	L -25.5	O 54.5
10/17/25	@ MIA	W 24–21	W +10.5	U 49.5
10/4/25	vs UVA	L 27–30	L -6.5	U 61.5
9/27/25	@ PITT	W 34–27	W -3.5	O 52.5
9/20/25	vs BGSU	W 40–17	L -25.5	O 50.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

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