Heat0 – 0vsRockets0 – 0

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Miami Heat	B+	C	B-
Houston Rockets	C	A	B

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+120+2.5 (-108)

HOU-142-2.5 (-112)

Total 228.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS7–3–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
3/19/26	vs LAL	L 126–134	L -3.5	O 242.5
3/17/26	@ CHA	L 106–136	L +5.5	O 236.5
3/14/26	vs ORL	L 117–121	L -4.5	O 236.5
3/12/26	vs MIL	W 112–105	W -5.5	U 233.5
3/10/26	vs WSH	W 150–129	W -15.5	O 235.5
3/8/26	vs DET	W 121–110	W +1.5	O 230.5
3/6/26	@ CHA	W 128–120	W +7.5	O 229.5
3/5/26	vs BKN	W 126–110	W -12.5	O 225.5
3/3/26	vs BKN	W 124–98	W -12.5	U 225.5
2/28/26	vs HOU	W 115–105	W +2.5	U 226.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS3–7–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
3/20/26	vs ATL	W 117–95	W -2.5	U 227.5
3/18/26	vs LAL	L 116–124	L -1.5	O 223.5
3/16/26	vs LAL	L 92–100	L +1.5	U 223.5
3/13/26	vs NO	W 107–105	L -5.5	U 230.5
3/11/26	@ DEN	L 93–129	L +6.5	U 232.5
3/10/26	vs TOR	W 113–99	W -4.5	U 220.5
3/8/26	@ SA	L 120–145	L +5.5	O 223.5
3/6/26	vs POR	W 106–99	W -6.5	U 220.5
3/5/26	vs GS	L 113–115	L -9.5	O 214.5
3/2/26	@ WSH	W 123–118	L -14.5	O 224.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.