Rangers78 – 77vsPhillies85 – 70

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Texas Rangers	C	B-	C+
Philadelphia Phillies	A-	B+	A-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

TEX+128+1.5 (-166)

PHI-154-1.5 (+137)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U3–6–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
3/26/26	@ PHI	L 3–5	L +1.5	P 8
9/28/25	@ CLE	L 8–9	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/27/25	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 6.5
9/26/25	@ CLE	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/25/25	vs MIN	L 0–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/24/25	vs MIN	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/23/25	vs MIN	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/21/25	vs MIA	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/20/25	vs MIA	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/19/25	vs MIA	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U3–6–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
3/26/26	vs TEX	W 5–3	W -1.5	P 8
10/9/25	@ LAD	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
10/8/25	@ LAD	W 8–2	W +1.5	O 7.5
10/6/25	vs LAD	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5
10/4/25	vs LAD	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/28/25	vs MIN	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/27/25	vs MIN	L 0–5	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/26/25	vs MIN	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/25/25	vs MIA	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/24/25	vs MIA	W 11–1	W -1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

RangersJacob LatzConfirmed

PhilliesAaron NolaConfirmed

Texas RangersConfirmed

Philadelphia PhilliesConfirmed

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