Pirates78 – 77vsMets71 – 84

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+
New York Mets	B	B	B

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+144+1.5 (-149)

NYM-175-1.5 (+123)

Total 7.5Over -102Under -118

Recent form

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
3/26/26	@ NYM	L 7–11	L -1.5	O 7
9/28/25	@ ATL	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/27/25	@ ATL	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/26/25	@ ATL	W 9–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/25/25	@ CIN	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/24/25	@ CIN	W 4–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
9/23/25	@ CIN	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/21/25	vs ATH	W 11–0	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/20/25	vs ATH	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/19/25	vs ATH	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
3/26/26	vs PIT	W 11–7	W +1.5	O 7
9/28/25	@ MIA	L 0–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/27/25	@ MIA	W 5–0	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/26/25	@ MIA	L 2–6	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/25/25	@ CHC	W 8–5	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/24/25	@ CHC	L 3–10	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/23/25	@ CHC	W 9–7	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/21/25	vs WSH	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/20/25	vs WSH	L 3–5	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/19/25	vs WSH	W 12–6	W -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesMitch KellerConfirmed

MetsDavid PetersonConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

New York MetsConfirmed

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