Pirates78 – 77vsReds72 – 83

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	A-	B
Cincinnati Reds	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-145-1.5 (+118)

CIN+120+1.5 (-143)

Total 7.5Over -108Under -112

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
3/31/26	@ CIN	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 9
3/30/26	@ CIN	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
3/29/26	@ NYM	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
3/28/26	@ NYM	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
3/26/26	@ NYM	L 7–11	L -1.5	O 7
9/28/25	@ ATL	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/27/25	@ ATL	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/26/25	@ ATL	W 9–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/25/25	@ CIN	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/24/25	@ CIN	W 4–3	W +1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
3/31/26	vs PIT	L 3–8	L +1.5	O 9
3/30/26	vs PIT	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 8.5
3/29/26	vs BOS	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
3/28/26	vs BOS	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 7.5
3/26/26	vs BOS	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 8
10/1/25	@ LAD	L 4–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/30/25	@ LAD	L 5–10	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/28/25	@ MIL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/27/25	@ MIL	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/26/25	@ MIL	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesPaul SkenesConfirmed

RedsAndrew AbbottConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

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