Orioles75 – 80vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Baltimore Orioles	B	C+	B
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

BAL-108-1.5 (+144)

PIT-112+1.5 (-175)

Total 8.5Over -102Under -118

Recent form

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
4/3/26	@ PIT	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/1/26	vs TEX	W 8–3	W +1.5	O 8
3/31/26	vs TEX	L 5–8	L +1.5	O 8.5
3/30/26	vs TEX	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 9
3/29/26	vs MIN	W 8–6	W -1.5	O 9
3/28/26	vs MIN	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 7.5
3/26/26	vs MIN	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/28/25	@ NYY	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/27/25	@ NYY	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/26/25	@ NYY	L 4–8	L +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
4/3/26	vs BAL	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
4/1/26	@ CIN	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 7.5
3/31/26	@ CIN	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 9
3/30/26	@ CIN	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
3/29/26	@ NYM	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
3/28/26	@ NYM	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
3/26/26	@ NYM	L 7–11	L -1.5	O 7
9/28/25	@ ATL	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/27/25	@ ATL	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/26/25	@ ATL	W 9–3	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

OriolesShane BazConfirmed

PiratesCarmen MlodzinskiConfirmed

Baltimore OriolesConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

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