Marlins76 – 79vsYankees89 – 65

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Miami Marlins	C	C+	C
New York Yankees	B	A+	A-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA+251+1.5 (+119)

NYY-317-1.5 (-143)

Total 8.5Over -112Under -108

Recent form

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
4/4/26	@ NYY	L 7–9	L +1.5	O 7.5
4/3/26	@ NYY	L 2–8	L +1.5	O 8
4/1/26	vs CHW	W 10–0	W -1.5	O 7.5
3/31/26	vs CHW	W 9–2	W -1.5	O 8
3/30/26	vs CHW	L 4–9	L -1.5	O 8
3/29/26	vs COL	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8
3/28/26	vs COL	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
3/27/26	vs COL	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8
9/28/25	vs NYM	W 4–0	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/27/25	vs NYM	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
4/4/26	vs MIA	W 9–7	W -1.5	O 7.5
4/3/26	vs MIA	W 8–2	W -1.5	O 8
4/1/26	@ SEA	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 7
3/31/26	@ SEA	W 5–0	W -1.5	U 7
3/30/26	@ SEA	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
3/28/26	@ SF	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
3/27/26	@ SF	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 8.5
3/25/26	@ SF	W 7–0	W -1.5	P 7
10/8/25	vs TOR	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 8.5
10/7/25	vs TOR	W 9–6	W -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

MarlinsPete FairbanksConfirmed

YankeesMax FriedConfirmed

Miami MarlinsConfirmed

New York YankeesConfirmed

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