Padres86 – 69vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
San Diego Padres	B	C+	B
Boston Red Sox	B-	A	B+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

SD+129+1.5 (-156)

BOS-156-1.5 (+129)

Total 9.5Over -102Under -118

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U2–7–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
4/4/26	@ BOS	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
4/3/26	@ BOS	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8
4/1/26	vs SF	W 7–1	W -1.5	P 8
3/31/26	vs SF	L 3–9	L +1.5	O 7.5
3/30/26	vs SF	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
3/28/26	vs DET	W 3–0	W +1.5	U 8
3/27/26	vs DET	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 7.5
3/26/26	vs DET	L 2–8	L +1.5	O 7
10/2/25	@ CHC	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
10/1/25	@ CHC	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
4/4/26	vs SD	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
4/3/26	vs SD	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 8
4/1/26	@ HOU	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 7
3/31/26	@ HOU	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 7.5
3/30/26	@ HOU	L 1–8	L -1.5	O 8.5
3/29/26	@ CIN	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
3/28/26	@ CIN	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
3/26/26	@ CIN	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 8
10/2/25	@ NYY	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
10/1/25	@ NYY	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PadresWalker BuehlerConfirmed

Red SoxRanger SuarezConfirmed

San Diego PadresConfirmed

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

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