Padres86 – 69vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
San Diego Padres	B	F	C
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

SD+119+1.5 (-171)

PIT-143-1.5 (+141)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U3–6–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
4/5/26	@ BOS	W 8–6	W +1.5	O 9.5
4/4/26	@ BOS	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 7.5
4/3/26	@ BOS	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8
4/1/26	vs SF	W 7–1	W -1.5	P 8
3/31/26	vs SF	L 3–9	L +1.5	O 7.5
3/30/26	vs SF	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
3/28/26	vs DET	W 3–0	W +1.5	U 8
3/27/26	vs DET	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 7.5
3/26/26	vs DET	L 2–8	L +1.5	O 7
10/2/25	@ CHC	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
4/5/26	vs BAL	W 8–2	W +1.5	O 8
4/4/26	vs BAL	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
4/3/26	vs BAL	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
4/1/26	@ CIN	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 7.5
3/31/26	@ CIN	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 9
3/30/26	@ CIN	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 8.5
3/29/26	@ NYM	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
3/28/26	@ NYM	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
3/26/26	@ NYM	L 7–11	L -1.5	O 7
9/28/25	@ ATL	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PadresGerman MarquezConfirmed

PiratesBubba ChandlerConfirmed

San Diego PadresConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

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