Astros77 – 78vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Houston Astros	B	C+	B
Boston Red Sox	B-	B+	B

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU+117+1.5 (-181)

BOS-141-1.5 (+149)

Total 9.0Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/1/26	@ BOS	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 9
4/30/26	@ BAL	W 11–5	W +1.5	O 9
4/30/26	@ BAL	L 3–10	L +1.5	O 9
4/28/26	@ BAL	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 9
4/26/26	vs NYY	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 9.5
4/25/26	vs NYY	L 3–8	L +1.5	O 9.5
4/24/26	vs NYY	L 4–12	L +1.5	O 9
4/22/26	@ CLE	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 8
4/21/26	@ CLE	L 5–8	L +1.5	O 9
4/20/26	@ CLE	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/1/26	vs HOU	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 9
4/29/26	@ TOR	L 1–8	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/28/26	@ TOR	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
4/27/26	@ TOR	W 5–0	W +1.5	U 7
4/26/26	@ BAL	W 5–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
4/25/26	@ BAL	W 17–1	W -1.5	O 7
4/24/26	@ BAL	L 3–10	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/23/26	vs NYY	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
4/22/26	vs NYY	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
4/21/26	vs NYY	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

AstrosSpencer ArrighettiConfirmed

Red SoxConnelly EarlyConfirmed

Houston AstrosConfirmed

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

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