Reds72 – 83vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Cincinnati Reds	C	B	C+
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	B	B-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CIN+105-1.5 (+161)

PIT-126+1.5 (-197)

Total 7.5Over -108Under -112

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U9–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/2/26	@ PIT	L 7–17	L +1.5	O 8
5/1/26	@ PIT	L 1–9	L +1.5	O 8
4/30/26	vs COL	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 9
4/29/26	vs COL	L 2–13	L -1.5	O 9.5
4/28/26	vs COL	W 7–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
4/26/26	vs DET	L 3–8	L +1.5	O 9
4/25/26	vs DET	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 9.5
4/24/26	vs DET	W 9–8	W +1.5	O 9
4/22/26	@ TB	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 8.5
4/21/26	@ TB	W 12–6	W -1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/2/26	vs CIN	W 17–7	W -1.5	O 8
5/1/26	vs CIN	W 9–1	W -1.5	O 8
4/30/26	vs STL	L 5–10	L -1.5	O 7
4/29/26	vs STL	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/28/26	vs STL	L 7–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/27/26	vs STL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8
4/26/26	@ MIL	L 0–5	L -1.5	U 7.5
4/25/26	@ MIL	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8
4/24/26	@ MIL	W 6–0	W -1.5	U 7
4/23/26	@ TEX	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

RedsChase BurnsConfirmed

PiratesBraxton AshcraftConfirmed

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

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