Phillies85 – 70vsMarlins76 – 79

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Philadelphia Phillies	A-	A	A-
Miami Marlins	C	B	C+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-135-1.5 (+115)

MIA+112+1.5 (-139)

Total 8.0Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/2/26	@ MIA	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 8.5
5/1/26	@ MIA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 7.5
4/30/26	vs SF	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/30/26	vs SF	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7
4/28/26	vs SF	W 7–0	W -1.5	U 8
4/26/26	@ ATL	L 2–6	L +1.5	P 8
4/25/26	@ ATL	W 8–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
4/24/26	@ ATL	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 9
4/23/26	@ CHC	L 7–8	L -1.5	O 9.5
4/22/26	@ CHC	L 2–7	L +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/2/26	vs PHI	W 4–0	W -1.5	U 8.5
5/1/26	vs PHI	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 7.5
4/29/26	@ LAD	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
4/28/26	@ LAD	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
4/27/26	@ LAD	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
4/26/26	@ SF	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
4/25/26	@ SF	L 2–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
4/24/26	@ SF	W 9–4	W -1.5	O 7.5
4/22/26	vs STL	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
4/21/26	vs STL	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PhilliesJesus LuzardoConfirmed

MarlinsChris PaddackConfirmed

Philadelphia PhilliesConfirmed

Miami MarlinsConfirmed

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