Royals67 – 88vsMariners72 – 83

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Kansas City Royals	C	B	C+
Seattle Mariners	B	B	B

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-105-1.5 (+149)

SEA-115+1.5 (-181)

Total 7.5Over -117Under -103

Recent form

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/2/26	@ SEA	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8
5/1/26	@ SEA	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 7
4/30/26	@ ATH	L 3–6	L -1.5	P 9
4/29/26	@ ATH	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 9.5
4/28/26	@ ATH	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9.5
4/26/26	vs LAA	W 11–9	W +1.5	O 8.5
4/25/26	vs LAA	W 12–1	W -1.5	O 9
4/24/26	vs LAA	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
4/22/26	vs BAL	L 6–8	L +1.5	O 9.5
4/21/26	vs BAL	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U4–4–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/2/26	vs KC	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8
5/1/26	vs KC	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 7
4/29/26	@ MIN	W 5–3	W -1.5	P 8
4/28/26	@ MIN	W 7–1	W -1.5	P 8
4/27/26	@ MIN	L 4–11	L -1.5	O 9
4/26/26	@ STL	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8.5
4/25/26	@ STL	W 11–9	W -1.5	O 7.5
4/24/26	@ STL	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 8
4/22/26	vs ATH	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5
4/21/26	vs ATH	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

RoyalsKris BubicConfirmed

MarinersLuis CastilloConfirmed

Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed

Seattle MarinersConfirmed

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