MLB matchup
05/04/20266:40 PMloanDepot parkMiami, FL

Phillies85 – 70vsMarlins76 – 79

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Philadelphia PhilliesA-B+A-
Miami MarlinsCCC
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun line
PHI-105-1.5 (+149)
MIA-115+1.5 (-181)
Total 8.5Over -112Under -108
Recent form

Last 10 games

Philadelphia Phillies

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/3/26@ MIAW 7–2W -1.5O 8
5/2/26@ MIAL 0–4L +1.5U 8.5
5/1/26@ MIAW 6–5L -1.5O 7.5
4/30/26vs SFW 6–5L -1.5O 8.5
4/30/26vs SFW 3–2L -1.5U 7
4/28/26vs SFW 7–0W -1.5U 8
4/26/26@ ATLL 2–6L +1.5P 8
4/25/26@ ATLW 8–5W +1.5O 8.5
4/24/26@ ATLL 3–5L +1.5U 9
4/23/26@ CHCL 7–8L -1.5O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Miami Marlins

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/3/26vs PHIL 2–7L +1.5O 8
5/2/26vs PHIW 4–0W -1.5U 8.5
5/1/26vs PHIL 5–6W +1.5O 7.5
4/29/26@ LADW 3–2W +1.5U 8.5
4/28/26@ LADW 2–1W +1.5U 7.5
4/27/26@ LADL 4–5W +1.5O 8.5
4/26/26@ SFL 3–6L -1.5O 7.5
4/25/26@ SFL 2–6L -1.5O 7.5
4/24/26@ SFW 9–4W -1.5O 7.5
4/22/26vs STLW 4–1W -1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Phillies and Marlins
Statistic
N/A (8.0)HitsN/A (8.3)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.5)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.3)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.4)
N/A (8.3)StrikeoutsN/A (8.3)
N/A (0.6)Stolen BasesN/A (1.1)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PhilliesAaron NolaConfirmed
MarlinsJanson JunkConfirmed

Starting lineups

Philadelphia PhilliesConfirmed
  1. 1Trea TurnerSS
  2. 2Kyle SchwarberDH
  3. 3Bryce Harper1B
  4. 4Adolis GarciaRF
  5. 5Brandon MarshLF
  6. 6Bryson Stott2B
  7. 7Alec Bohm3B
  8. 8Garrett StubbsC
  9. 9Justin CrawfordCF
Miami MarlinsConfirmed
  1. 1Jakob MarseeCF
  2. 2Kyle StowersLF
  3. 3Otto LopezSS
  4. 4Xavier Edwards2B
  5. 5Liam HicksDH
  6. 6Christopher Morel1B
  7. 7Joe MackC
  8. 8Owen CaissieRF
  9. 9Graham Pauley3B


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