Pirates78 – 77vsDiamondbacks81 – 74

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+
Arizona Diamondbacks	B-	C+	B-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+108+1.5 (-186)

ARI-130-1.5 (+153)

Total 9.0Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/3/26	vs CIN	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
5/2/26	vs CIN	W 17–7	W -1.5	O 8
5/1/26	vs CIN	W 9–1	W -1.5	O 8
4/30/26	vs STL	L 5–10	L -1.5	O 7
4/29/26	vs STL	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/28/26	vs STL	L 7–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/27/26	vs STL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8
4/26/26	@ MIL	L 0–5	L -1.5	U 7.5
4/25/26	@ MIL	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8
4/24/26	@ MIL	W 6–0	W -1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/3/26	@ CHC	L 4–8	L +1.5	P 12
5/2/26	@ CHC	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7
5/1/26	@ CHC	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 7
4/30/26	@ MIL	L 1–13	L +1.5	O 7.5
4/29/26	@ MIL	W 6–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
4/28/26	@ MIL	L 2–13	L +1.5	O 8
4/26/26	vs SD	W 12–7	W +1.5	O 14.5
4/25/26	vs SD	L 4–6	L +1.5	U 16
4/23/26	vs CHW	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
4/22/26	vs CHW	W 11–7	W -1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesBubba ChandlerConfirmed

DiamondbacksEduardo RodriguezConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Arizona DiamondbacksConfirmed

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