Pirates78 – 77vsDiamondbacks81 – 74

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+
Arizona Diamondbacks	B-	B-	B-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-103-1.5 (+147)

ARI-117+1.5 (-178)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/6/26	@ ARI	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 7.5
5/5/26	@ ARI	L 0–9	L +1.5	P 9
5/3/26	vs CIN	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 7.5
5/2/26	vs CIN	W 17–7	W -1.5	O 8
5/1/26	vs CIN	W 9–1	W -1.5	O 8
4/30/26	vs STL	L 5–10	L -1.5	O 7
4/29/26	vs STL	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/28/26	vs STL	L 7–11	L -1.5	O 8.5
4/27/26	vs STL	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 8
4/26/26	@ MIL	L 0–5	L -1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–4–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/6/26	vs PIT	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
5/5/26	vs PIT	W 9–0	W -1.5	P 9
5/3/26	@ CHC	L 4–8	L +1.5	P 12
5/2/26	@ CHC	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 7
5/1/26	@ CHC	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 7
4/30/26	@ MIL	L 1–13	L +1.5	O 7.5
4/29/26	@ MIL	W 6–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
4/28/26	@ MIL	L 2–13	L +1.5	O 8
4/26/26	vs SD	W 12–7	W +1.5	O 14.5
4/25/26	vs SD	L 4–6	L +1.5	U 16

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesMitch KellerConfirmed

DiamondbacksZac GallenConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Arizona DiamondbacksConfirmed

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