MLB matchup
05/16/20264:10 PMTropicana FieldSt. Petersburg, Florida

Marlins76 – 79vsRays94 – 60

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Miami MarlinsCC+C
Tampa Bay RaysBB-B
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun line
MIA+113+1.5 (-181)
TB-136-1.5 (+149)
Total 8.0Over -105Under -114
Recent form

Last 10 games

Miami Marlins

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/15/26@ TBL 2–7L +1.5O 8
5/14/26@ MINL 1–9L -1.5O 9
5/13/26@ MINW 9–5W -1.5O 8.5
5/12/26@ MINL 0–3L -1.5U 9
5/10/26vs WSHW 5–2W -1.5U 8.5
5/9/26vs WSHW 8–7L -1.5O 8.5
5/8/26vs WSHL 2–3L -1.5U 8.5
5/7/26vs BALW 4–3L -1.5U 8.5
5/6/26vs BALL 4–7L -1.5O 8.5
5/5/26vs BALL 7–9L -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/15/26vs MIAW 7–2W -1.5O 8
5/13/26@ TORL 3–5L +1.5O 7.5
5/12/26@ TORW 7–6L -1.5O 8
5/11/26@ TORW 8–5W -1.5O 7
5/10/26@ BOSW 4–1W +1.5U 8.5
5/8/26@ BOSL 0–2L +1.5U 8.5
5/7/26@ BOSW 8–4W -1.5O 8.5
5/6/26vs TORW 3–0W -1.5U 7.5
5/5/26vs TORW 4–3W +1.5P 7
5/4/26vs TORW 5–1W -1.5U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Marlins and Rays
Statistic
N/A (8.3)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.4)
N/A (1.0)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.5)
N/A (3.4)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (8.3)StrikeoutsN/A (7.1)
N/A (1.1)Stolen BasesN/A (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MarlinsSandy AlcantaraConfirmed
RaysNick MartinezConfirmed

Starting lineups

Miami MarlinsConfirmed
  1. 1Xavier Edwards2B
  2. 2Liam HicksDH
  3. 3Otto LopezSS
  4. 4Kyle StowersLF
  5. 5Connor Norby1B
  6. 6Jakob MarseeCF
  7. 7Javier Sanoja3B
  8. 8Owen CaissieRF
  9. 9Joe MackC
Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed
  1. 1Chandler SimpsonLF
  2. 2Junior Caminero3B
  3. 3Jonathan Aranda1B
  4. 4Yandy DiazDH
  5. 5Richie Palacios2B
  6. 6Cedric MullinsCF
  7. 7Jonny DeLucaRF
  8. 8Hunter FeducciaC
  9. 9Taylor WallsSS


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