MLB matchup
05/17/202612:15 PMTropicana FieldSt. Petersburg, Florida

Marlins76 – 80vsRays95 – 61

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Miami MarlinsCB-C+
Tampa Bay RaysBA-B+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun line
MIA+123+1.5 (-171)
TB-149-1.5 (+141)
Total 7.5Over -101Under -119
Recent form

Last 10 games

Miami Marlins

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/16/26@ TBW 10–5W +1.5O 8
5/15/26@ TBL 2–7L +1.5O 8
5/14/26@ MINL 1–9L -1.5O 9
5/13/26@ MINW 9–5W -1.5O 8.5
5/12/26@ MINL 0–3L -1.5U 9
5/10/26vs WSHW 5–2W -1.5U 8.5
5/9/26vs WSHW 8–7L -1.5O 8.5
5/8/26vs WSHL 2–3L -1.5U 8.5
5/7/26vs BALW 4–3L -1.5U 8.5
5/6/26vs BALL 4–7L -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/16/26vs MIAL 5–10L -1.5O 8
5/15/26vs MIAW 7–2W -1.5O 8
5/13/26@ TORL 3–5L +1.5O 7.5
5/12/26@ TORW 7–6L -1.5O 8
5/11/26@ TORW 8–5W -1.5O 7
5/10/26@ BOSW 4–1W +1.5U 8.5
5/8/26@ BOSL 0–2L +1.5U 8.5
5/7/26@ BOSW 8–4W -1.5O 8.5
5/6/26vs TORW 3–0W -1.5U 7.5
5/5/26vs TORW 4–3W +1.5P 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Marlins and Rays
Statistic
N/A (8.2)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.4)
N/A (1.0)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.2)Total BasesN/A (13.5)
N/A (3.4)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (8.3)StrikeoutsN/A (7.1)
N/A (1.0)Stolen BasesN/A (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MarlinsEury PerezConfirmed
RaysDrew RasmussenConfirmed

Starting lineups

Miami MarlinsConfirmed
  1. 1Xavier Edwards2B
  2. 2Liam HicksC
  3. 3Otto LopezSS
  4. 4Kyle StowersLF
  5. 5Connor NorbyDH
  6. 6Jakob MarseeCF
  7. 7Leo Jimenez3B
  8. 8Owen CaissieRF
  9. 9Christopher Morel1B
Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed
  1. 1Chandler SimpsonLF
  2. 2Junior Caminero3B
  3. 3Jonathan Aranda1B
  4. 4Yandy DiazDH
  5. 5Richie Palacios2B
  6. 6Jonny DeLucaRF
  7. 7Cedric MullinsCF
  8. 8Nick FortesC
  9. 9Taylor WallsSS


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