Red Sox84 – 71vsGuardians80 – 75

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Boston Red Sox	B-	A-	B
Cleveland Guardians	D+	A-	B-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+109+1.5 (-230)

CLE-131-1.5 (+187)

Total 6.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/29/26	@ CLE	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8
5/28/26	vs ATL	L 2–10	L +1.5	O 6.5
5/27/26	vs ATL	W 8–0	W +1.5	P 8
5/26/26	vs ATL	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 8
5/24/26	vs MIN	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7
5/23/26	vs MIN	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 7.5
5/22/26	vs MIN	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 7
5/20/26	@ KC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
5/19/26	@ KC	W 7–1	W -1.5	O 7.5
5/18/26	@ KC	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
5/29/26	vs BOS	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 8
5/27/26	vs WSH	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
5/26/26	vs WSH	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
5/25/26	vs WSH	L 2–10	L -1.5	O 8.5
5/24/26	@ PHI	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7
5/23/26	@ PHI	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 7
5/22/26	@ PHI	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 6.5
5/21/26	@ DET	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
5/20/26	@ DET	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
5/19/26	@ DET	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

Red SoxSonny GrayConfirmed

GuardiansParker MessickConfirmed

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

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