Nationals73 – 82vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Washington Nationals	C	D+	C
Boston Red Sox	B-	A	B+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH+128+1.5 (-157)

BOS-154-1.5 (+130)

Total 9.5Over -111Under -109

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
6/30/26	@ BOS	W 8–1	W +1.5	P 9
6/29/26	@ BOS	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5
6/28/26	@ BAL	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 9.5
6/27/26	@ BAL	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9
6/26/26	@ BAL	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 9
6/25/26	vs PHI	L 5–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
6/24/26	vs PHI	L 4–5	W +1.5	U 9.5
6/23/26	vs PHI	L 9–14	L +1.5	O 8.5
6/22/26	vs PHI	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9.5
6/21/26	@ TB	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
6/30/26	vs WSH	L 1–8	L -1.5	P 9
6/29/26	vs WSH	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
6/28/26	vs NYY	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 8
6/27/26	vs NYY	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 8
6/26/26	vs NYY	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
6/25/26	vs NYY	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8
6/24/26	@ COL	L 6–8	L -1.5	O 10.5
6/23/26	@ COL	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 10.5
6/22/26	@ COL	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 12
6/21/26	@ SEA	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

NationalsBrad LordConfirmed

Red SoxPayton TolleConfirmed

Washington NationalsConfirmed

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

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