Pirates78 – 77vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	C+	C+
Washington Nationals	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT+124+1.5 (-169)

WSH-150-1.5 (+139)

Total 9.5Over -116Under -104

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/2/26	@ PHI	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 10.5
7/1/26	@ PHI	L 6–10	L +1.5	O 8
6/30/26	@ PHI	L 0–8	L +1.5	U 8.5
6/29/26	@ PHI	W 11–7	W -1.5	O 9
6/28/26	vs CIN	W 9–4	W -1.5	O 9
6/27/26	vs CIN	L 7–9	L +1.5	O 8
6/26/26	vs CIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
6/25/26	vs SEA	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
6/24/26	vs SEA	W 11–1	W +1.5	O 8
6/23/26	vs SEA	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/1/26	@ BOS	W 10–2	W +1.5	O 9.5
6/30/26	@ BOS	W 8–1	W +1.5	P 9
6/29/26	@ BOS	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5
6/28/26	@ BAL	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 9.5
6/27/26	@ BAL	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9
6/26/26	@ BAL	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 9
6/25/26	vs PHI	L 5–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
6/24/26	vs PHI	L 4–5	W +1.5	U 9.5
6/23/26	vs PHI	L 9–14	L +1.5	O 8.5
6/22/26	vs PHI	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesMitch KellerConfirmed

NationalsFoster GriffinConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Washington NationalsConfirmed

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