Pirates78 – 77vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	B	B-
Washington Nationals	C	F	D

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PIT-162-1.5 (-102)

WSH+134+1.5 (-118)

Total 10.5Over -107Under -112

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/3/26	@ WSH	L 5–9	L +1.5	O 9.5
7/2/26	@ PHI	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 10.5
7/1/26	@ PHI	L 6–10	L +1.5	O 8
6/30/26	@ PHI	L 0–8	L +1.5	U 8.5
6/29/26	@ PHI	W 11–7	W -1.5	O 9
6/28/26	vs CIN	W 9–4	W -1.5	O 9
6/27/26	vs CIN	L 7–9	L +1.5	O 8
6/26/26	vs CIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
6/25/26	vs SEA	W 5–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
6/24/26	vs SEA	W 11–1	W +1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/3/26	vs PIT	W 9–5	W -1.5	O 9.5
7/1/26	@ BOS	W 10–2	W +1.5	O 9.5
6/30/26	@ BOS	W 8–1	W +1.5	P 9
6/29/26	@ BOS	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5
6/28/26	@ BAL	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 9.5
6/27/26	@ BAL	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9
6/26/26	@ BAL	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 9
6/25/26	vs PHI	L 5–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
6/24/26	vs PHI	L 4–5	W +1.5	U 9.5
6/23/26	vs PHI	L 9–14	L +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PiratesBraxton AshcraftConfirmed

NationalsCarson PalmquistConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

Washington NationalsConfirmed

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.