Phillies85 – 70vsRoyals67 – 88

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Philadelphia Phillies	A-	B+	A-
Kansas City Royals	C	C-	C-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

PHI-136-1.5 (+114)

KC+113+1.5 (-137)

Total 10.0Over -111Under -108

Recent form

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/4/26	@ KC	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 9
7/2/26	vs PIT	L 1–6	L -1.5	U 10.5
7/1/26	vs PIT	W 10–6	W -1.5	O 8
6/30/26	vs PIT	W 8–0	W -1.5	U 8.5
6/29/26	vs PIT	L 7–11	L +1.5	O 9
6/28/26	@ NYM	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8.5
6/27/26	@ NYM	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 9
6/26/26	@ NYM	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8.5
6/25/26	@ WSH	W 10–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
6/24/26	@ WSH	W 5–4	L -1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/4/26	vs PHI	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 9
7/2/26	vs TB	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 10
7/1/26	vs TB	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 10.5
6/30/26	vs TB	L 4–10	L +1.5	O 9.5
6/28/26	@ CHW	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
6/27/26	@ CHW	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8
6/26/26	@ CHW	L 1–22	L +1.5	O 9
6/25/26	@ TB	L 2–13	L +1.5	O 8
6/24/26	@ TB	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 7.5
6/23/26	@ TB	W 12–5	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

PhilliesAaron NolaConfirmed

RoyalsLuinder AvilaConfirmed

Philadelphia PhilliesConfirmed

Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed

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