Astros77 – 78vsNationals73 – 82

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Houston Astros	B	C	B-
Washington Nationals	C	C-	C

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

HOU-105-1.5 (+149)

WSH-115+1.5 (-181)

Total 9.5Over +100Under -121

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/6/26	@ WSH	L 11–12	L -1.5	O 10
7/5/26	vs TB	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 9
7/4/26	vs TB	W 10–8	W +1.5	O 7
7/3/26	vs TB	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 9
7/1/26	vs MIN	L 3–8	L -1.5	O 8.5
6/30/26	vs MIN	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
6/29/26	vs MIN	L 4–5	L -1.5	P 9
6/28/26	@ DET	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 8
6/27/26	@ DET	W 8–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
6/26/26	@ DET	L 0–8	L -1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/6/26	vs HOU	W 12–11	W +1.5	O 10
7/5/26	vs PIT	L 5–11	L -1.5	O 10
7/4/26	vs PIT	L 1–7	L +1.5	U 10.5
7/3/26	vs PIT	W 9–5	W -1.5	O 9.5
7/1/26	@ BOS	W 10–2	W +1.5	O 9.5
6/30/26	@ BOS	W 8–1	W +1.5	P 9
6/29/26	@ BOS	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5
6/28/26	@ BAL	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 9.5
6/27/26	@ BAL	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9
6/26/26	@ BAL	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

AstrosTatsuya ImaiConfirmed

NationalsAndrew AlvarezConfirmed

Houston AstrosConfirmed

Washington NationalsConfirmed

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