Royals67 – 88vsMets71 – 84

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Kansas City Royals	C	C+	C
New York Mets	B	B-	B-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC+119+1.5 (-171)

NYM-144-1.5 (+141)

Total 8.5Over -110Under -109

Recent form

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/6/26	vs PHI	W 15–1	W +1.5	O 8.5
7/5/26	vs PHI	W 5–2	W +1.5	U 10
7/4/26	vs PHI	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 9
7/2/26	vs TB	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 10
7/1/26	vs TB	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 10.5
6/30/26	vs TB	L 4–10	L +1.5	O 9.5
6/28/26	@ CHW	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
6/27/26	@ CHW	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8
6/26/26	@ CHW	L 1–22	L +1.5	O 9
6/25/26	@ TB	L 2–13	L +1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/6/26	@ ATL	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 9
7/5/26	@ ATL	W 10–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
7/4/26	@ ATL	L 3–14	L +1.5	O 8
7/3/26	@ ATL	L 3–5	L -1.5	U 9
7/1/26	@ TOR	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
6/30/26	@ TOR	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 8
6/29/26	@ TOR	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
6/28/26	vs PHI	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
6/27/26	vs PHI	W 6–2	W -1.5	U 9
6/26/26	vs PHI	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

RoyalsSeth LugoConfirmed

MetsCionel PerezConfirmed

Kansas City RoyalsConfirmed

New York MetsConfirmed

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