Braves91 – 64vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Atlanta Braves	B+	B	B+
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	B	B-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATL+102-1.5 (+160)

PIT-123+1.5 (-196)

Total 9.5Over -101Under -120

Recent form

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/7/26	@ PIT	L 4–12	L +1.5	O 8.5
7/6/26	vs NYM	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 9
7/5/26	vs NYM	L 9–10	W +1.5	O 8.5
7/4/26	vs NYM	W 14–3	W -1.5	O 8
7/3/26	vs NYM	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 9
7/2/26	vs STL	L 5–11	L +1.5	O 9
7/1/26	vs STL	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 9
6/30/26	vs STL	L 3–5	L -1.5	U 9
6/28/26	@ SF	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 7.5
6/27/26	@ SF	L 0–5	L +1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/7/26	vs ATL	W 12–4	W -1.5	O 8.5
7/5/26	@ WSH	W 11–5	W +1.5	O 10
7/4/26	@ WSH	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 10.5
7/3/26	@ WSH	L 5–9	L +1.5	O 9.5
7/2/26	@ PHI	W 6–1	W +1.5	U 10.5
7/1/26	@ PHI	L 6–10	L +1.5	O 8
6/30/26	@ PHI	L 0–8	L +1.5	U 8.5
6/29/26	@ PHI	W 11–7	W -1.5	O 9
6/28/26	vs CIN	W 9–4	W -1.5	O 9
6/27/26	vs CIN	L 7–9	L +1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

BravesGrant HolmesConfirmed

PiratesJared JonesConfirmed

Atlanta BravesConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

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