Red Sox84 – 71vsMets71 – 84

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Boston Red Sox	B-	A-	B
New York Mets	B	B+	B

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

BOS+123+1.5 (-175)

NYM-148-1.5 (+144)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/9/26	@ CHW	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 9
7/8/26	@ CHW	W 5–0	W +1.5	U 8
7/7/26	@ CHW	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
7/5/26	@ LAA	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 8
7/4/26	@ LAA	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
7/3/26	@ LAA	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
7/1/26	vs WSH	L 2–10	L -1.5	O 9.5
6/30/26	vs WSH	L 1–8	L -1.5	P 9
6/29/26	vs WSH	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
6/28/26	vs NYY	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/9/26	vs KC	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 9
7/8/26	vs KC	W 6–2	W -1.5	U 9.5
7/7/26	vs KC	L 12–16	L -1.5	O 8.5
7/6/26	@ ATL	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 9
7/5/26	@ ATL	W 10–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
7/4/26	@ ATL	L 3–14	L +1.5	O 8
7/3/26	@ ATL	L 3–5	L -1.5	U 9
7/1/26	@ TOR	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
6/30/26	@ TOR	W 3–0	W -1.5	U 8
6/29/26	@ TOR	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

Red SoxSonny GrayConfirmed

MetsNolan McLeanConfirmed

Boston Red SoxConfirmed

New York MetsConfirmed

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