Cubs86 – 69vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Chicago Cubs	A-	A-	A-
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	B	B-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-110-1.5 (+154)

PIT-110+1.5 (-187)

Total 8.0Over -107Under -112

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/22/26	vs DET	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 8
7/21/26	vs DET	W 11–2	W -1.5	O 7.5
7/20/26	vs DET	L 6–8	L +1.5	O 11.5
7/19/26	vs MIN	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 7.5
7/18/26	vs MIN	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8
7/17/26	vs MIN	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 11
7/12/26	@ CIN	W 8–4	W -1.5	O 9
7/11/26	@ CIN	W 5–3	W -1.5	U 9.5
7/10/26	@ CIN	L 0–4	L -1.5	U 9.5
7/9/26	@ BAL	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 10

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/22/26	@ NYY	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 9
7/22/26	@ NYY	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 9.5
7/20/26	@ NYY	L 5–8	L -1.5	O 8
7/19/26	@ CLE	W 7–1	W -1.5	O 7
7/18/26	@ CLE	L 3–5	L -1.5	U 8.5
7/18/26	@ CLE	W 7–1	W +1.5	O 7.5
7/12/26	vs MIL	W 14–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
7/11/26	vs MIL	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 9
7/11/26	vs MIL	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
7/9/26	vs ATL	L 5–10	L +1.5	O 10

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

CubsMatthew BoydConfirmed

PiratesJared JonesConfirmed

Chicago CubsConfirmed

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed

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