Guardians80 – 75vsReds72 – 83

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Cleveland Guardians	D+	B+	C+
Cincinnati Reds	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CLE-144-1.5 (+113)

CIN+119+1.5 (-136)

Total 9.0Over -103Under -117

Recent form

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/28/26	@ CIN	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 9
7/26/26	@ TB	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 6.5
7/25/26	@ TB	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 8
7/24/26	@ TB	L 3–11	L +1.5	O 7
7/23/26	vs MIN	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 7
7/22/26	vs MIN	L 6–10	L -1.5	O 8
7/21/26	vs MIN	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 8
7/20/26	vs MIN	W 13–4	W +1.5	O 7.5
7/19/26	vs PIT	L 1–7	L +1.5	O 7
7/18/26	vs PIT	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
7/28/26	vs CLE	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 9
7/26/26	@ STL	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
7/25/26	@ STL	L 0–7	L -1.5	U 8
7/24/26	@ STL	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 8
7/22/26	@ SEA	W 5–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
7/21/26	@ SEA	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
7/20/26	@ SEA	L 0–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
7/19/26	@ COL	W 9–6	W -1.5	O 11
7/18/26	@ COL	L 3–10	L -1.5	O 12.5
7/17/26	@ COL	W 7–2	W -1.5	U 12

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

GuardiansGavin WilliamsConfirmed

RedsCaleb FergusonConfirmed

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

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