Marlins76 – 79vsMets71 – 84

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Miami Marlins	C	C+	C
New York Mets	B	C	C+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIA-122-1.5 (+138)

NYM+101+1.5 (-167)

Total 8.5Over -114Under -105

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/1/26	@ NYM	W 6–2	W +1.5	U 9
7/31/26	@ NYM	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 8.5
7/30/26	@ NYM	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 7
7/29/26	vs PHI	W 8–6	W +1.5	O 7
7/28/26	vs PHI	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 8
7/27/26	vs PHI	W 8–7	W +1.5	O 8
7/26/26	vs SD	L 3–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
7/25/26	vs SD	L 2–7	L -1.5	O 8
7/24/26	vs SD	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 9
7/22/26	@ HOU	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U2–7–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
8/1/26	vs MIA	L 2–6	L -1.5	U 9
7/31/26	vs MIA	L 2–5	L +1.5	U 8.5
7/30/26	vs MIA	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 7
7/29/26	vs ATL	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7
7/29/26	vs ATL	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
7/27/26	vs ATL	W 14–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
7/26/26	vs LAD	W 8–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
7/25/26	vs LAD	L 3–4	W +1.5	P 7
7/24/26	vs LAD	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 9
7/22/26	@ MIL	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Starting pitcher context

MarlinsSandy AlcantaraConfirmed

MetsRobert StockConfirmed

Miami MarlinsConfirmed

New York MetsConfirmed

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